Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.010614 0.012836 0.015624 0.019463 0.024758 0.032035 0.043254
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.008296 0.010958 0.014775 0.020961 0.031452 0.050219 0.091752
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.006783 0.009433 0.013548 0.020959 0.035514 0.067663 0.168473
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.005754 0.008293 0.012468 0.020604 0.038575 0.086412 0.303790
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004852 0.007149 0.011064 0.019095 0.038310 0.097035 0.467609
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004242 0.006372 0.010120 0.018170 0.038943 0.111927 0.798042
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003859 0.005914 0.009652 0.018096 0.041818 0.140594 1.877170
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003608 0.005646 0.009485 0.018641 0.046954 0.192558 8.698885
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003352 0.005332 0.009166 0.018718 0.050761 0.251622 147.265151
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003061 0.004917 0.008573 0.017930 0.050992 0.288849 NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002846 0.004622 0.008186 0.017594 0.052915 0.355292 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002753 0.004547 0.008261 0.018567 0.061478 0.575425 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002660 0.004487 0.008408 0.020003 0.075436 1.236028 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002571 0.004425 0.008552 0.021571 0.093993 3.666046 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002413 0.004201 0.008263 0.021569 0.102883 8.832188 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002258 0.003965 0.007906 0.021200 0.108908 23.890250 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002070 0.003641 0.007281 0.019630 0.102436 29.044645 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001925 0.003400 0.006841 0.018669 0.100881 57.259364 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001831 0.003259 0.006640 0.018593 0.108384 1303.332096 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001768 0.003183 0.006598 0.019158 0.124933 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001694 0.003073 0.006452 0.019239 0.136841 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001597 0.002904 0.006123 0.018420 0.134959 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001523 0.002782 0.005910 0.018071 0.140005 NaN NaN